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Aereospace to remain in the black through recession

June 26, 2009, Ottawa - Canada’s aerospace industry is expected to post a modest  profit of $620 million in 2009 according to the Conference Board’s Canadian Industrial Outlook.


June 26, 2009
By Carey Fredericks

June 26, 2009, Ottawa – Canada’s aerospace industry is expected to post a modest  profit of $620 million in 2009, despite declining demand for business jets, according to the Conference Board’s Canadian Industrial Outlook: Canada’s Aerospace Product Manufacturing Industry – Spring 2009.
 
“Although the aerospace industry is being affected by the recession, it is currently faring better than many other industries,” said Valerie Poulin, Economist. “However, the industry’s customers are beginning to rethink or even cancel orders due to a decline in air travel and their difficulties raising credit to pay for new jets. The next 12 months will shape the industry’s longer-term well-being.”
 
Despite recent cancellations, the backlog of orders, which is equivalent to nearly two years of production, is still just below the industry all-time high. Industry production is expected to slow in the next two years, but output will still outperform the rest of the manufacturing sector. After an increase of more than 10 per cent in 2008, production growth is expected to slow to 1.7 per cent this year and decline slightly in 2010.
 
Profits fell to $592 million in 2008 and should remain relatively stable over the next two years. Profit levels are expected to grow steadily beginning in 2011. However, profit margins remain slim—they fell to a low of 2.7 per cent in 2008—and expected to average only three per cent annually over the next five years.
Canadian Industrial Outlook: Canada’s Aerospace Product Manufacturing Industry-Spring 2009 is sponsored by the Aerospace Industries Association of Canada, the national trade association representing Canada’s aerospace manufacturing and services sector.