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After years of slow growth, Quebec exports about to take off: EDC

“The U.S. continues to be Quebec’s biggest customer in trade,” said Peter Hall, Chief Economist, EDC. “As industry in the U.S. reaches its peak capacity, American businesses will be looking to their trusted northern partners to help them continue to meet demand. This will mean big opportunities for companies in Quebec, especially those involved in machinery and equipment.”

The report estimates Quebec’s exports will grow by 7 per cent in 2015, and 6 per cent in 2016.

The lower Canadian dollar will also drive foreign business investment to Quebec in 2015. This is expected to provide the most noticeable benefit to the aerospace and forestry sectors.

“Although it’s a good story, Bombardier isn’t the only aerospace story in Quebec,” said Hall. “Companies that supply aircraft parts and other materials across the aerospace sector will enjoy good growth in exports over the next two years. This is driven not only by a high level of profits in the U.S., but also increased air travel.”

Aerospace exports in Quebec will see some of the highest growth in the country over the next two years with a forecasted increase of 17 per cent in 2015 and 20 per cent in 2016.

“Pent up demand in the U.S. housing market is having an impact across Canada,” said Hall. “The housing market in the U.S. has been restrained in recent years but it’s now seeing an impressive comeback. For forestry and lumber companies in Quebec who are considering exporting now is the time to reach out to U.S. prospects.”

Metals and ores exports will see more modest growth of 3 and 2 per cent in 2015 and 2016 respectively as commodity prices rebalance.
EDC is Canada’s leading provider of small business financing and insurance for companies with sales or business outside of Canada. EDC’s economics team is considered to be among Canada’s leading trade experts, who share their knowledge freely with Canadian companies to help them grow their international sales, and manage the associated market risks.

EDC’s semi-annual Global Export Forecast addresses the latest global export conditions including perspectives on interest rates, exchange rates as well as export strategies to help Canadian companies minimize risk. It also analyzes a range of risks for which exporters should be prepared.

EDC’s semi-annual Global Export Forecast addresses the latest global export conditions including perspectives on interest rates, exchange rates as well as export strategies to help Canadian companies minimize risk. It also analyzes a range of risks for which exporters should be prepared.