November 29, 2019 By Wings Staff
Air Canada discusses the need for more AMEs, as well as some of its hiring programs and processes, at the recent Careers in Aviation Expo in Mississauga, presented by Wings and Helicopters magazines.
Back in September 2019, Airbus released its Global Market Forecast, which predicts a need for more than 39,000 new aircraft over the next 20 years. The world’s passenger and freighter aircraft fleet is expected to more than double from nearly 23,000 today to almost 48,000 by 2038 – with traffic growing at 4.3 per cent annually. By 2038, this would include just over 39,000 new aircraft. Of these, around 25,000 aircraft are predicted for growth and 14,000 are to replace older models.
These aircraft numbers would also result in a need for 550,000 new pilots and 640,000 new Aircraft Maintenance Engineers (AME) or technicians. These numbers somewhat conflict with the most recent Boeing Pilot & Technician Outlook, released in late-July 2019, which projects that 769,000 new maintenance technicians will be needed to fly and maintain the world aircraft fleet by 2038. Boeing’s forecast, however, takes into account a wider swath of aircraft. Inclusive of commercial aviation, business aviation and civil helicopter industries, Boeing’s 20-year forecast is based on fleet growth, aircraft utilization, attrition rates and regional differences in crewing specific to aircraft type.
The 769,000 new technicians mark presented by Boeing in 2019 represents an increase relative to last year’s forecast of 754,000 from Boeing. The projected demand for technicians in North America is expected to reach 193,000 by 2038, up two per cent from last year.
Asia Pacific was also forecast to have the highest need for technicians at 266,000, according to Boeing’s report. The company also pegs the global helicopter industry demand for technicians at 44,000. In terms of North America’s civil helicopter personnel demand, Boeing forecasts the region will require 14,000 new technicians and 21,000 pilots by 2038.