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Bombardier’s stock plunges following revised aerospace outlook

Jan. 16, 2015, Montreal - Bombardier stock plunged in heavy trading Thursday following a revised outlook for its aerospace business, including plans to put development of the Learjet 85 business jet on hold, eliminating 1,000 jobs in the United States and Mexico.

January 16, 2015  By The Canadian Press

The Montreal-based company’s shares were down more then 22 per cent or 93 cents to a multi-year low of $3.21 on the Toronto Stock Exchange at late afternoon in unusually heavy volume of almost 58 million shares.

The aerospace and rail equipment manufacturer said before markets opened that it would “pause” development of the Learjet 85, but continue to sell other models and focus on two other aircraft programs — the Global 7000/8000 business jet and the much-delayed CSeries passenger jet for commercial airlines.

About 600 employees who worked on the Learjet 85 will be switched to the Global and CSeries projects, the company said.

President and CEO Pierre Beaudoin confirmed slow sales and weak immediate prospects for improvement in the smaller business jet market were behind the Learjet 85 decision, not because of any further technical problems with the aircraft, whose first flight was delayed until last April.


“It’s a market that has not come back since 2008 and we think that the right decision for the company right now is to take a pause,” he said during a conference call.

The company will write down the value of its Learjet 85 program, resulting in a pretax charge of about US$1.4 billion in the company’s fourth quarter and US$25 million for severance in its first quarter of 2015.

Meanwhile, Bombardier also trimmed its 2015 guidance, including a drop to US$800 million in cash flow from its Aerospace division from prior estimates of between US$1.2 billion and US$$1.6 billion.

Beaudoin insisted the company’s access to US$3.8 billion of liquidity, including US$2.4 billion of cash, is sufficient to fund its development programs.

But at least one analyst raised the possibility that Bombardier may resort to selling stock to improve its financial cushion — a move that would be negative for current shareholders.

And David Tyerman of Canaccord Genuity also said the credibility of Bombardier’s management is likely to take a major hit from Thursday’s announcement.

“We already perceive that investors have a poor opinion of management and this will likely make it worse,” Tyerman said. “It also will likely lessen investor/analyst confidence in management’s forward-looking guidance. We regard this as a major issue with potential negative implications for the company’s valuation multiple.”

Aerospace analyst Richard Aboulafia of the Teal Group said the decision to shelve the 10-seat Learjet 85 is really about the need for cash to complete the CSeries, whose costs have increased to about US$4.5 billion.

“They’re really getting into crunch time in terms of the CSeries relative to their company finances,” he said in an interview.

Aboulafia scoffed at the suggestion that the decision was tied to the market outlook, saying it will help rival Embraer’s Legacy 500 to succeed in a segment that is showing signs of recovery.

Beaudoin denied that Thursday’s announcement signals that Bombardier is in peril.

“We have a product line where we are the global leaders in business aircraft, regional aircraft and in our train business,” he said. ” . . . Obviously it’s a difficult decision today but it’s a necessary decision in relation to the size of the market of the Learjet 85.”

The Learjet announcement follows last year’s elimination of 2,900 positions around the world — 2,000 non-union administrative jobs at Bombardier Aerospace and 900 at Bombardier Transportation, the company’s rail equipment division. It laid off more than 200 workers last June because of delays in the Learjet 85 flight test program.

And several senior executives, including former aerospace president Guy Hachey, have left the company since an engine failure ground CSeries test flights for several months.


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